AI predicts when every Premier League manager could be sacked


With the Premier League campaign now underway and several sides already stealing the headlines, it won’t be too long before the sack race begins in the technical area.

Managers will be the first to point out that this is, indeed, a results business. Failure to get the results usually ends one way, especially in the Premier League.

Last season, it was Nuno Espirito Santo who became the unwanted winner in the sack race, as Evangelos Marinakis dismissed the first of three Nottingham Forest managers. But who will it be this time around? Is Oliver Glasner in trouble of facing the same fate?

On that front, the AI tool, ChatGPT, has provided the answers ahead of 2026/27…

Marco Rose (Bournemouth)

Marco Rose is finally in the Premier League. The former RB Leipzig boss officially stepped into the role to replace Andoni Iraola this summer and, like most managers at the Vitality Stadium, he’ll be given time to succeed.

Marco Rose career honours

German Cup

2022/23

German Super Cup

2023/24

Austrian champion

2017/18, 2018/19

Austrian Cup

2018/19

There are already early signs that he’ll pick up where Iraola left off, but European football could certainly complicate things.

ChatGPT says: Fairly secure – likely to be given time.

Mikel Arteta (Arsenal)

Mikel Arteta is the longest-reigning manager in the Premier League these days, and he’s also the only one who can call himself an English champion in the technical area. He has cemented his legacy at The Emirates, but there’s so much more to come.

From early doubts, the Spaniard has become the most untouchable manager in English football.

ChatGPT says: Virtually untouchable.

Unai Emery (Aston Villa)

Speaking of untouchable, Unai Emery should still have plenty of backing at Aston Villa. Whilst some have suggested that he could face the sack in a poor campaign after the Villans were shoved aside by Brighton in a 4-0 defeat, the Spaniard is still the man for the job.

Clubs Unai Emery has managed

Aston Villa

2022-present

Villarreal

2020-2022

Arsenal

2018-2019

PSG

2016-2018

Sevilla

2013-2016

Spartak Moscow

2012-2012

Valencia

2008-2012

UD Almeria

2006-2008

Lorca Deportiva

2004-2006

That said, ChatGPT has warned that, in a period of transition in the Midlands, Emery is not as untouchable as he once was.

ChatGPT says: Secure, but a poor season would raise questions.

Keith Andrews (Brentford)

Almost everyone backed Keith Andrews to win the sack race last season. His arrival had all the hallmarks of an early dismissal. He was replacing a long-term manager, had little experience and lost key players. Yet, in the face of all that, the Irishman thrived.

Now, ChatGPT believes that he is of low risk in the sack race even as he continues to prove himself in West London this season.

ChatGPT says: Low risk, but still needs to prove himself over time.

Fabian Hurzeler (Brighton)

The Premier League’s youngest manager, Fabian Hurzeler endured his toughest moment yet at Brighton last season. So much so that there was even talk about his dismissal amid fan unrest. Like any good manager, though, he quickly turned things around and has not looked back since.

While the German doesn’t appear to be under any immediate pressure, failure to make the most of the club’s exciting squad could see him come under scrutiny in the new year.

ChatGPT says: Very secure – strong backing from the club.

Xabi Alonso (Chelsea)

Ask Liam Rosenior, Enzo Maresca and Graham Potter and they’ll reveal the lack of security for just about any Chelsea manager. In Xabi Alonso, however, BlueCo hope to have finally got things right.

The Spaniard has certainly been backed in the transfer window, welcoming new British-record signing Morgan Rogers from Aston Villa. Now, the pressure – as always at Stamford Bridge – will be on to get immediate results.

ChatGPT says: Currently secure, but expectations are unforgiving.

Frank Lampard (Coventry City)

The pressure is on for just about any promoted manager. Clubs rightfully tend to panic around Christmas time if their side is staring down the barrel of a return to the Championship. Coventry City are unlikely to be any different.

Frank Lampard’s managerial career

Coventry City

2024-present

Chelsea (caretaker manager)

2023-2023

Everton

2022-2023

Chelsea

2019-2021

Derby County

2018-2019

Frank Lampard needs to get results quickly before that panic sets in. It’s not absurd to suggest that he’s a strong candidate to win the Premier League’s sack race, however.

ChatGPT says: Some pressure – relegation trouble could become a problem.

Pierre Sage (Crystal Palace)

There was a lot of change in the dugout in the summer and that includes at Selhurst Park. Pierre Sage is the man who has been handed the task of replacing Oliver Glasner and he will be under immediate pressure as a result.

Like newly-promoted clubs, sides like Palace are likely to panic if results do not arrive right away fresh from such a significant managerial change.

ChatGPT says: Under significant pressure – a poor run could become dangerous quickly.

David Moyes (Everton)

David Moyes is quietly under pressure at Everton. The Friedkin Group are looking to qualify for European football and were left disappointed by last season’s failure. Moyes is not the most flashy manager and that in itself could cast doubts over his tenure if results begin to change.

That said, for the time being, ChatGPT believes that he has built up enough credit to ride any potential storm this season. Only time will tell whether that’s the case, however.

ChatGPT says: Secure – has plenty of credit in the bank.

Alvaro Arbeloa (Fulham)

Last season, it was Keith Andrews who was favourite to win the sack race. One year on, it’s another manager in West London. Alvaro Arbeloa arrives at Fulham under plenty of pressure following Marco Silva’s exit.

If the Cottagers are dragged into an early relegation scrap, then they could quickly pull the plug on their Arbeloa experiment.

ChatGPT says: Major pressure – one of the managers most vulnerable to the sack.



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